Informal data interpretation in everyday life—that is, our intuitive inferences from whatever beliefs we momentarily feel pretty sure of—is something we do so repeatedly with so little conscious effort that it takes considerable critical expertise to appreciate just how modest is the degree of confidence these conclusions usually warrant. (p. 207)

Rozeboom, W. W. (1984). Dispositions do explain: Picking up the pieces after hurricane Walter. In J. Royce, & L. Mos (Eds.), Annals of theoretical psychology, Vol. 1 (pp. 205-223). New York: Plenum.
Voir aussi Alain (1956), Lumsden (1973), Michell (2004).